Halifax vs Hartlepool prediction
England National League · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Halifax to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Halifax 46% at home, a draw 27% and Hartlepool 27%, so its call is 1: Halifax to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Halifax and 1.0 for Hartlepool; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Halifax
Attack 12th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Altrincham 2026-08-28
- W 4-1 v Tamworth 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v Boreham Wood 2026-08-15
- L 2-3 at Forest Green 2026-08-08
- W 1-0 at Woking 2026-04-25
Hartlepool
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Eastleigh 2026-08-28
- L 1-2 at Sutton 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 at Aldershot 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Barrow 2026-08-08
- L 1-3 at Boston Utd 2026-04-25
From 1163 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.