Brit Predictor

Doncaster vs Notts County prediction

England League One · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeDoncaster 1–1 Notts CountyResult X

Who wins?

DoncasterDrawNotts County
Model 1 ✗
42%26%32%
Market 1 ✗
46%27%27%

Brit Predictor's model rates Doncaster to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Doncaster 42% at home, a draw 26% and Notts County 32%, so its call is 1: Doncaster to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 27% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Doncaster and 1.2 for Notts County; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Notts County, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Doncaster

Attack 18th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

DDLWD
  • D 2-2 at Stevenage 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 v Barnsley 2026-08-22
  • L 1-2 at Mansfield 2026-08-15
  • W 3-1 at Peterboro 2026-05-02
  • D 1-1 v Stevenage 2026-04-25

Notts County

Attack 16th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.

WDD
  • W 2-1 v Burton 2026-08-29
  • D 2-2 at Luton 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 v Leicester 2026-08-15

From 1139 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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