Dijon vs St Etienne prediction
France Ligue 2 · Monday 31 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Etienne to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Dijon 18% at home, a draw 24% and St Etienne 58%, so its call is 2: St Etienne to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 18% / 25% / 57%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dijon and 1.7 for St Etienne; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dijon
Attack 16th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Clermont 2026-08-21
- L 0-1 v Pau FC 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 at Montpellier 2026-08-08
St Etienne
Attack 1st of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Grenoble 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Clermont 2026-08-14
- W 3-0 at Sochaux 2026-08-08
- W 5-0 v Amiens 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 at Rodez 2026-05-02
From 646 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.