Celta B vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 31 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Castellon to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Celta B 37% at home, a draw 25% and Castellon 39%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 24% / 54%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Celta B and 1.4 for Castellon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Celta B, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Celta B
Attack 11th of 22, defence 13th of 22 in the league.
- W 4-2 v Andorra 2026-08-24
- D 0-0 at Cadiz 2026-08-15
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-08-14
- W 2-1 v Eibar 2026-05-31
- W 1-0 at Huesca 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 v Cadiz 2026-05-15
From 955 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 31 Aug
- Burgos vs Sociedad B · FT 2–2