St Mirren vs Motherwell prediction
Scotland Premiership · Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Motherwell to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives St Mirren 27% at home, a draw 30% and Motherwell 43%, so its call is 2: Motherwell to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 27% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for St Mirren and 1.2 for Motherwell; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Mirren
Attack 12th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.
- W 1-0 v St Johnstone 2026-08-08
- W 2-0 at Falkirk 2026-08-01
- D 1-1 v Dundee United 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 at Aberdeen 2026-05-12
- L 0-3 v Kilmarnock 2026-05-09
Motherwell
Attack 5th of 12, defence 3rd of 12 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Falkirk 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 at Hibernian 2026-08-02
- W 1-0 at Hibernian 2026-05-16
- L 2-3 v Celtic 2026-05-13
- D 1-1 v Hearts 2026-05-09
From 472 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sun 30 Aug
- Aberdeen vs Rangers · FT 0–1
- Dundee vs Hibernian · FT 1–2