St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht prediction
Belgium Pro League · Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St. Gilloise to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives St. Gilloise 65% at home, a draw 23% and Anderlecht 12%, so its call is 1: St. Gilloise to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 25% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for St. Gilloise and 0.7 for Anderlecht; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St. Gilloise
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Waregem 2026-08-15
- W 5-1 at Westerlo 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Anderlecht 2026-05-24
- D 0-0 at Gent 2026-05-21
- L 0-5 at Club Brugge 2026-05-17
Anderlecht
Attack 6th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Beveren 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-08-09
- L 1-5 at St. Gilloise 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 v St Truiden 2026-05-21
- D 2-2 v Mechelen 2026-05-17
From 652 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sun 30 Aug
- Gent vs Club Brugge · FT 2–1
- Antwerp vs St Truiden · FT 1–4
- Westerlo vs Waregem · FT 2–2