Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Sunday 30 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Fenerbahce to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Samsunspor 28% at home, a draw 24% and Fenerbahce 48%, so its call is 2: Fenerbahce to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 16% / 22% / 62%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Samsunspor and 2.0 for Fenerbahce; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 68%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Samsunspor
Attack 6th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Rizespor 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Goztep 2026-08-17
- W 3-0 v Goztep 2026-05-16
- L 0-3 at Buyuksehyr 2026-05-09
- W 4-1 v Galatasaray 2026-05-02
Fenerbahce
Attack 1st of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-2 v Konyaspor 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-15
- D 3-3 v Eyupspor 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 at Konyaspor 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 v Buyuksehyr 2026-05-02
From 670 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sun 30 Aug
- Eyupspor vs Alanyaspor · FT 2–1
- Buyuksehyr vs Kasimpasa · FT 1–1