Mallorca vs Ceuta prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Mallorca 56% at home, a draw 23% and Ceuta 21%, so its call is 1: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 71% / 18% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mallorca and 1.0 for Ceuta; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Mallorca
Attack 10th of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Granada 2026-08-24
- W 2-0 v Valladolid 2026-08-15
Ceuta
Attack 14th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-22
- L 1-5 at Andorra 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Albacete 2026-05-30
- W 2-0 at Andorra 2026-05-24
- L 1-4 v Malaga 2026-05-16
From 951 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 30 Aug
- Andorra vs Eibar · FT 0–1
- Cadiz vs Valladolid · FT 1–1
- Cordoba vs Granada · FT 1–3