Leeds vs Brentford prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leeds to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Leeds 37% at home, a draw 28% and Brentford 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Leeds and 1.4 for Brentford; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leeds
Attack 13th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at West Ham 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Brighton 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-11
- W 3-1 v Burnley 2026-05-01
Brentford
Attack 4th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 at Man City 2026-05-09
- W 3-0 v West Ham 2026-05-02
From 775 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 30 Aug
- Chelsea vs Brighton · FT 4–3
- Sunderland vs Fulham · FT 1–0
- Man United vs Ipswich · FT 5–2