Lazio vs Genoa prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 30 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lazio to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Lazio 48% at home, a draw 28% and Genoa 24%, so its call is 1: Lazio to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 32% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lazio and 0.9 for Genoa; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lazio
Attack 10th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Bologna 2026-08-24
- W 2-1 v Pisa 2026-05-23
- L 0-2 at Roma 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 v Inter 2026-05-09
- W 2-1 at Cremonese 2026-05-04
Genoa
Attack 16th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Napoli 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Lecce 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Milan 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 at Fiorentina 2026-05-10
- D 0-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-02
From 775 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 30 Aug
- Napoli vs Como · FT 1–2
- Cagliari vs Inter · FT 0–1