La Coruna vs Valencia prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates La Coruna to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives La Coruna 43% at home, a draw 27% and Valencia 30%, so its call is 1: La Coruna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 32% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for La Coruna and 1.0 for Valencia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on La Coruna, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
La Coruna
Attack 17th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Malaga 2026-08-24
- D 1-1 v Elche 2026-08-17
Valencia
Attack 15th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Betis 2026-08-25
- D 0-0 v Celta 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Barcelona 2026-05-23
- W 4-3 at Sociedad 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Vallecano 2026-05-14
From 785 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 30 Aug
- Real Madrid vs Malaga · FT 4–0
- Celta vs Ath Bilbao · FT 0–2