Brit Predictor

AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan prediction

England League One · Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeAFC Wimbledon 1–0 WiganResult 1

Who wins?

AFC WimbledonDrawWigan
Model 12 ✓
35%30%35%
Market 12 ✓
33%28%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Wigan to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives AFC Wimbledon 35% at home, a draw 30% and Wigan 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.0 for Wigan; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 66%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 21st of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.

DLLWL
  • D 0-0 v Reading 2026-08-22
  • L 0-3 at Huddersfield 2026-08-15
  • L 0-4 v Huddersfield 2026-05-02
  • W 1-0 at Wigan 2026-04-25
  • L 1-3 v Plymouth 2026-04-18

Wigan

Attack 24th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.

LLLLD
  • L 0-2 v Leyton Orient 2026-08-22
  • L 2-3 at Cambridge 2026-08-15
  • L 0-1 at Stevenage 2026-05-02
  • L 0-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-04-25
  • D 0-0 at Port Vale 2026-04-19

From 1137 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sun 30 Aug

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