Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts prediction
Scotland League Two · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stranraer to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Stranraer 44% at home, a draw 27% and Kelty Hearts 29%, so its call is 1: Stranraer to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 26% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stranraer and 1.1 for Kelty Hearts; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kelty Hearts, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stranraer
Attack 9th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Stirling 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Spartans 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 v Annan Athletic 2026-08-08
- L 1-3 at Clyde 2026-08-01
- W 1-0 at Elgin 2026-05-02
Kelty Hearts
Attack 4th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Dumbarton 2026-08-22
- L 1-4 at Elgin 2026-08-15
- W 3-2 v Stirling 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Forfar 2026-08-01
From 381 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League Two games on Sat 29 Aug
- Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton · FT 2–0
- Elgin vs Stirling · FT 4–0
- Spartans vs Clyde · FT 3–3