Sevilla vs Ath Madrid prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 29 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Sevilla 28% at home, a draw 24% and Ath Madrid 48%, so its call is 2: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 27% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sevilla and 1.6 for Ath Madrid; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sevilla
Attack 10th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Ath Bilbao 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Vallecano 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Celta 2026-05-23
- L 0-1 v Real Madrid 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Villarreal 2026-05-13
Ath Madrid
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Villarreal 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 v Malaga 2026-08-19
- L 1-5 at Villarreal 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Girona 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Osasuna 2026-05-12
From 782 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 29 Aug
- Levante vs Betis · FT 5–2
- Sociedad vs Espanol · FT 2–1