Notts County vs Burton prediction
England League One · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Notts County to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Notts County 38% at home, a draw 28% and Burton 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Notts County and 1.1 for Burton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Notts County, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Notts County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Luton 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Leicester 2026-08-15
Burton
Attack 16th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Leicester 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Stevenage 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at Leyton Orient 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 v Exeter 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at Peterboro 2026-04-19
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 29 Aug
- Blackpool vs Peterboro · FT 4–0
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester · FT 0–0
- Stockport vs Wycombe · FT 5–1
- Stevenage vs Doncaster · FT 2–2
- Sheffield Weds vs Bromley · FT 7–2
- Leyton Orient vs Barnsley · FT 1–3
- Cambridge vs Huddersfield · FT 1–2
- Plymouth vs Bradford · FT 2–0