Hearts vs St Johnstone prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hearts to win as the most likely result (74%). It gives Hearts 74% at home, a draw 17% and St Johnstone 9%, so its call is 1: Hearts to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.3 for Hearts and 0.7 for St Johnstone; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Hearts
Attack 3rd of 12, defence 2nd of 12 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Dundee United 2026-08-09
- L 1-2 at Aberdeen 2026-08-01
- L 1-3 at Celtic 2026-05-16
- W 3-0 v Falkirk 2026-05-13
- D 1-1 at Motherwell 2026-05-09
St Johnstone
Attack 11th of 12, defence 11th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 at St Mirren 2026-08-08
- W 4-3 v Kilmarnock 2026-08-02
- L 0-2 v Dundee 2025-05-18
- L 1-2 at Hearts 2025-05-14
- W 2-1 v Ross County 2025-05-10
From 469 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 29 Aug
- Celtic vs Falkirk · FT 2–1
- Kilmarnock vs Dundee United · FT 0–4