Wrexham vs Birmingham prediction
England Championship · Friday 28 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wrexham to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Wrexham 43% at home, a draw 27% and Birmingham 29%, so its call is 1: Wrexham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 29% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wrexham and 1.2 for Birmingham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wrexham
Attack 4th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Watford 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-08-17
- D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Coventry 2026-04-26
- W 1-0 at Oxford 2026-04-21
Birmingham
Attack 13th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Bristol City 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at Sheffield United 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at Portsmouth 2026-05-02
- W 2-1 v Bristol City 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 v Preston 2026-04-22
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.