Tenerife vs Sp Gijon prediction
Spain Segunda · Friday 28 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Tenerife to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Tenerife 36% at home, a draw 29% and Sp Gijon 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 31% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tenerife and 1.1 for Sp Gijon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Tenerife
Attack 19th of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-23
- W 3-1 at Eibar 2026-08-16
- L 0-2 at Almeria 2025-06-01
- L 0-1 v Oviedo 2025-05-25
- L 0-1 at Cartagena 2025-05-17
Sp Gijon
Attack 6th of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Burgos 2026-08-23
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-17
- W 2-1 at Granada 2026-05-30
- W 3-1 v Almeria 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Zaragoza 2026-05-17
From 946 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.