Milan vs Venezia prediction
Italy Serie A · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Milan 61% at home, a draw 24% and Venezia 16%, so its call is 1: Milan to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 20% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Milan and 0.7 for Venezia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Venezia, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Milan
Attack 7th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Torino 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 at Genoa 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Atalanta 2026-05-10
- L 0-2 at Sassuolo 2026-05-03
Venezia
Attack 17th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Lecce 2026-08-23
- L 2-3 v Juventus 2025-05-25
- L 0-3 at Cagliari 2025-05-18
- W 2-1 v Fiorentina 2025-05-12
- D 1-1 at Torino 2025-05-02
From 770 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.