Groningen vs For Sittard prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Groningen to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Groningen 53% at home, a draw 25% and For Sittard 21%, so its call is 1: Groningen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 19% / 15%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Groningen and 1.1 for For Sittard; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Groningen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-23
- W 4-1 at Den Haag 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 v Utrecht 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 at Heracles 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nijmegen 2026-05-10
For Sittard
Attack 13th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 v Cambuur 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Utrecht 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 v Zwolle 2026-05-10
From 636 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.