Genk vs Beveren prediction
Belgium Pro League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Genk to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Genk 65% at home, a draw 21% and Beveren 14%, so its call is 1: Genk to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 21% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Genk and 0.9 for Beveren; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Beveren, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Genk
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 4-4 at Antwerp 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Westerlo 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Waregem 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-23
- D 0-0 v Antwerp 2026-05-19
Beveren
Attack 17th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Waregem 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Anderlecht 2026-08-16
- L 1-2 at Antwerp 2026-08-09
From 647 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.