Genclerbirligi vs Erzurumspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Genclerbirligi to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Genclerbirligi 49% at home, a draw 30% and Erzurumspor 22%, so its call is 1: Genclerbirligi to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 31% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Genclerbirligi and 0.9 for Erzurumspor; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Genclerbirligi
Attack 16th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Goztep 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 v Fenerbahce 2026-08-15
- W 3-0 at Trabzonspor 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 v Kasimpasa 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 at Karagumruk 2026-05-03
Erzurumspor
Attack 15th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 v Galatasaray 2026-08-21
- L 0-3 at Amedspor 2026-08-16
From 666 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.