Crystal Palace vs Man City prediction
England Premier League · Friday 28 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Crystal Palace 18% at home, a draw 26% and Man City 56%, so its call is 2: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 18% / 22% / 60%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Crystal Palace and 1.7 for Man City; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Crystal Palace
Attack 18th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Everton 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v Arsenal 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 at Brentford 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 at Man City 2026-05-13
- D 2-2 v Everton 2026-05-10
Man City
Attack 1st of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Bournemouth 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Aston Villa 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-05-19
- W 3-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-13
- W 3-0 v Brentford 2026-05-09
From 770 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.