Cremonese vs Modena prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cremonese to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Cremonese 42% at home, a draw 30% and Modena 28%, so its call is 1: Cremonese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 29% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cremonese and 1.1 for Modena; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cremonese, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cremonese
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2025-05-13
- W 3-2 at Spezia 2025-05-09
- D 1-1 v Sassuolo 2025-05-04
- D 0-0 at Sampdoria 2025-05-01
Modena
Attack 5th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Benevento 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Avellino 2026-05-08
- W 2-1 v Reggiana 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Monza 2026-04-24
- L 1-2 v Frosinone 2026-04-18
From 770 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.