Celta vs Osasuna prediction
Spain La Liga · Thursday 27 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Celta to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Celta 52% at home, a draw 25% and Osasuna 23%, so its call is 1: Celta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 28% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Celta and 1.0 for Osasuna; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Celta
Attack 6th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Valencia 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Sevilla 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 at Ath Bilbao 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Levante 2026-05-12
- W 1-0 at Ath Madrid 2026-05-09
Osasuna
Attack 15th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Levante 2026-08-24
- L 0-1 at Getafe 2026-05-23
- L 1-2 v Espanol 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Ath Madrid 2026-05-12
- L 2-3 at Levante 2026-05-08
From 778 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Thu 27 Aug
- Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao · FT 2–0