Real Madrid vs Sociedad prediction
Spain La Liga · Wednesday 26 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Real Madrid to win as the most likely result (74%). It gives Real Madrid 74% at home, a draw 15% and Sociedad 10%, so its call is 1: Real Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 83% / 11% / 6%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.6 for Real Madrid and 0.8 for Sociedad; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 66%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Real Madrid
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Espanol 2026-08-22
- W 4-2 v Ath Bilbao 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Sevilla 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 v Oviedo 2026-05-14
- L 0-2 at Barcelona 2026-05-10
Sociedad
Attack 7th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Betis 2026-08-21
- D 1-1 at Espanol 2026-05-23
- L 3-4 v Valencia 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-05-14
- D 2-2 v Betis 2026-05-09
From 777 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.