Kocaelispor vs Amedspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Monday 24 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Amedspor to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Kocaelispor 24% at home, a draw 37% and Amedspor 40%, so its call is X2: Amedspor to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 31% / 31%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Kocaelispor and 1.0 for Amedspor; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 76%. Careful: there is little recent data on Amedspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kocaelispor
Attack 18th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Buyuksehyr 2026-08-16
- L 0-1 at Antalyaspor 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Karagumruk 2026-05-09
- D 1-1 at Kasimpasa 2026-05-03
- L 0-1 at Genclerbirligi 2026-04-26
Amedspor
Attack 7th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Erzurumspor 2026-08-16
From 665 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.