Granada vs Mallorca prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 24 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Granada 30% at home, a draw 27% and Mallorca 43%, so its call is 2: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 31% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Granada and 1.4 for Mallorca; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Granada
Attack 11th of 22, defence 14th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 v Sp Gijon 2026-05-30
- L 1-3 at Mirandes 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 v Burgos 2026-05-16
- L 0-1 at Cordoba 2026-05-10
Mallorca
Attack 4th of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Valladolid 2026-08-15
From 944 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 24 Aug
- Celta B vs Andorra · FT 4–2