Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 24 August 2026, 21:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Gil Vicente to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Gil Vicente 59% at home, a draw 23% and Casa Pia 18%, so its call is 1: Gil Vicente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 27% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gil Vicente and 0.8 for Casa Pia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gil Vicente
Attack 8th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-08-09
- L 0-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Arouca 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 at Rio Ave 2026-05-03
- W 2-1 v Casa Pia 2026-04-27
Casa Pia
Attack 18th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-7 v Benfica 2026-08-17
- L 0-1 at Maritimo 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 v Rio Ave 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Guimaraes 2026-05-11
- L 0-1 v Tondela 2026-05-03
From 635 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.