Fulham vs Chelsea prediction
England Premier League · Monday 24 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Fulham 35% at home, a draw 29% and Chelsea 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 27% / 47%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Fulham and 1.3 for Chelsea; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Fulham
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 v Newcastle 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 at Wolves 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Bournemouth 2026-05-09
- L 0-3 at Arsenal 2026-05-02
- W 1-0 v Aston Villa 2026-04-25
Chelsea
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 at Sunderland 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 v Tottenham 2026-05-19
- D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-09
- L 1-3 v Nott'm Forest 2026-05-04
- L 0-3 at Brighton 2026-04-21
From 769 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.