PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PSV Eindhoven to win as the most likely result (74%). It gives PSV Eindhoven 74% at home, a draw 15% and Groningen 11%, so its call is 1: PSV Eindhoven to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 77% / 13% / 10%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.9 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.1 for Groningen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 77%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
PSV Eindhoven
Attack 1st of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Excelsior 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v For Sittard 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Twente 2026-05-17
- W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-05-02
Groningen
Attack 11th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-1 at Den Haag 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 v Utrecht 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 at Heracles 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nijmegen 2026-05-10
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-02
From 633 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 23 Aug
- Go Ahead Eagles vs Den Haag · FT 3–1
- Cambuur vs Feyenoord · FT 2–5