Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (36%). It gives Panetolikos 34% at home, a draw 36% and Asteras Tripolis 30%, so its call is 1X: Panetolikos to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 31% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Panetolikos and 0.9 for Asteras Tripolis; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 70%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Panetolikos
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 v Asteras Tripolis 2026-05-21
- D 1-1 at Panserraikos 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Larisa 2026-05-12
- W 2-1 at Atromitos 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 v Kifisia 2026-05-02
Asteras Tripolis
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 at Panetolikos 2026-05-21
- D 0-0 v Kifisia 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 v Panserraikos 2026-05-12
- D 1-1 at Larisa 2026-05-09
- W 4-2 v Atromitos 2026-05-02
From 472 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 23 Aug
- OFI Crete vs Volos NFC · FT 2–0
- PAOK vs Levadeiakos · FT 4–0