Lommel SK vs Westerlo prediction
Belgium Pro League · Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lommel SK to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Lommel SK 36% at home, a draw 28% and Westerlo 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 25% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lommel SK and 1.3 for Westerlo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lommel SK
Attack 16th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Charleroi 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at St Truiden 2026-08-08
Westerlo
Attack 7th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Genk 2026-08-15
- L 1-5 v St. Gilloise 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Antwerp 2026-05-23
- L 1-2 v Standard 2026-05-19
- W 1-0 at Charleroi 2026-05-16
From 645 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sun 23 Aug
- Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge · FT 1–0