Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Rizespor to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Rizespor 38% at home, a draw 28% and Samsunspor 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rizespor and 1.4 for Samsunspor; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Rizespor
Attack 7th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Konyaspor 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v Besiktas 2026-05-15
- L 0-4 at Eyupspor 2026-05-09
- W 3-2 v Konyaspor 2026-05-01
- L 0-2 at Kayserispor 2026-04-25
Samsunspor
Attack 6th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Goztep 2026-08-17
- W 3-0 v Goztep 2026-05-16
- L 0-3 at Buyuksehyr 2026-05-09
- W 4-1 v Galatasaray 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 at Alanyaspor 2026-04-27
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sat 22 Aug
- Corum vs Kasimpasa · FT 0–1
- Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor · FT 4–2