Montrose vs East Kilbride prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates East Kilbride to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Montrose 21% at home, a draw 21% and East Kilbride 58%, so its call is 2: East Kilbride to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 22% / 57%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Montrose and 2.3 for East Kilbride; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 72%. Careful: there is little recent data on East Kilbride, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Montrose
Attack 7th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Alloa 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Ross County 2026-08-08
- L 0-5 v Hamilton 2026-08-01
- L 0-2 v Stenhousemuir 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 at Queen of Sth 2026-04-25
East Kilbride
Attack 1st of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Cove Rangers 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at Airdrie Utd 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Queen of Sth 2026-08-01
From 374 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 22 Aug
- Airdrie Utd vs Ross County · FT 1–3
- Cove Rangers vs Peterhead · FT 3–0
- East Fife vs Hamilton · FT 0–0
- Queen of Sth vs Alloa · FT 0–2