Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton prediction
Scotland League Two · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Kelty Hearts to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Kelty Hearts 50% at home, a draw 25% and Dumbarton 25%, so its call is 1: Kelty Hearts to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 23% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kelty Hearts and 1.2 for Dumbarton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kelty Hearts, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kelty Hearts
Attack 6th of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Elgin 2026-08-15
- W 3-2 v Stirling 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Forfar 2026-08-01
Dumbarton
Attack 9th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Edinburgh City 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Clyde 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Stirling 2026-08-01
- L 0-5 at Edinburgh City 2026-05-02
- L 0-1 v East Kilbride 2026-04-25
From 375 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League Two games on Sat 22 Aug
- Spartans vs Elgin · FT 3–3
- Stirling vs Stranraer · FT 2–2
- Clyde vs Forfar · FT 3–0
- Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic · FT 1–0