Vicenza vs Catanzaro prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Catanzaro to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Vicenza 29% at home, a draw 28% and Catanzaro 42%, so its call is 2: Catanzaro to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 30% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vicenza and 1.5 for Catanzaro; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Vicenza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Vicenza
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Catanzaro
Attack 4th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Bari 2026-05-08
- L 2-3 at Palermo 2026-05-01
- W 4-2 v Spezia 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at Juve Stabia 2026-04-18
- D 2-2 v Modena 2026-04-14
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.