Erzurumspor vs Galatasaray prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Galatasaray to win as the most likely result (71%). It gives Erzurumspor 10% at home, a draw 19% and Galatasaray 71%, so its call is 2: Galatasaray to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 21% / 64%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Erzurumspor and 2.4 for Galatasaray; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Erzurumspor
Attack 17th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Amedspor 2026-08-16
Galatasaray
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Corum 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 at Kasimpasa 2026-05-17
- W 4-2 v Antalyaspor 2026-05-09
- L 1-4 at Samsunspor 2026-05-02
- W 3-0 v Fenerbahce 2026-04-26
From 657 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.