Samsunspor vs Goztep prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Monday 17 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Samsunspor to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Samsunspor 41% at home, a draw 31% and Goztep 29%, so its call is 1X: Samsunspor to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Samsunspor and 1.1 for Goztep; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Samsunspor
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-0 v Goztep 2026-05-16
- L 0-3 at Buyuksehyr 2026-05-09
- W 4-1 v Galatasaray 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 at Alanyaspor 2026-04-27
- W 2-1 v Besiktas 2026-04-19
Goztep
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-3 at Samsunspor 2026-05-16
- W 2-1 v Gaziantep 2026-05-09
- D 1-1 at Trabzonspor 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 v Antalyaspor 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 at Kocaelispor 2026-04-18
From 656 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.