Santander vs Villarreal prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Villarreal to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Santander 23% at home, a draw 23% and Villarreal 54%, so its call is 2: Villarreal to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 25% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Santander and 1.7 for Villarreal; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 762 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.