Burnley vs West Ham prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (70%). It gives Burnley 70% at home, a draw 23% and West Ham 6%, so its call is 1: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 27% / 43%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Burnley and 0.3 for West Ham; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 69%. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, West Ham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 1113 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.