Brit Predictor

Amedspor vs Erzurumspor prediction

Turkey Super Lig · Sunday 16 August 2026, 20:30 WAT

Full timeAmedspor 3–0 ErzurumsporResult 1

Who wins?

AmedsporDrawErzurumspor
Model 1 ✓
42%30%28%
Market 1 ✓
44%28%28%

Brit Predictor's model rates Amedspor to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Amedspor 42% at home, a draw 30% and Erzurumspor 28%, so its call is 1: Amedspor to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Amedspor and 1.2 for Erzurumspor; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on Amedspor, Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 50%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Amedspor

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

No recent league games.

Erzurumspor

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

No recent league games.

From 653 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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