Brit Predictor

Yeovil vs Carlisle prediction

England National League · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeYeovil 1–1 CarlisleResult X

Who wins?

YeovilDrawCarlisle
Model 2 ✗
21%26%54%
Market 2 ✗
26%26%48%

Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Yeovil 21% at home, a draw 26% and Carlisle 54%, so its call is 2: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 26% / 48%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Yeovil and 1.7 for Carlisle; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Yeovil

Attack 24th of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.

DLLDL
  • D 1-1 at Scunthorpe 2026-08-08
  • L 1-4 v Solihull 2026-04-25
  • L 0-3 at York 2026-04-18
  • D 0-0 v Halifax 2026-04-11
  • L 1-2 at Eastleigh 2026-04-06

Carlisle

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

LWWWD
  • L 2-3 v Worthing 2026-08-08
  • W 3-0 v Brackley Town 2026-04-25
  • W 1-0 at Truro 2026-04-18
  • W 3-0 v Sutton 2026-04-11
  • D 2-2 at Morecambe 2026-04-06

From 1116 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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