Oviedo vs Granada prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Oviedo 52% at home, a draw 26% and Granada 22%, so its call is 1: Oviedo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 30% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Oviedo and 0.9 for Granada; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Oviedo
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 v Cadiz 2025-06-01
- W 1-0 at Tenerife 2025-05-25
- W 1-0 v Zaragoza 2025-05-18
- D 1-1 at Santander 2025-05-11
- W 2-1 at Huesca 2025-05-03
Granada
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 v Sp Gijon 2026-05-30
- L 1-3 at Mirandes 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 v Burgos 2026-05-16
- L 0-1 at Cordoba 2026-05-10
- W 1-0 at Zaragoza 2026-05-01
From 925 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 15 Aug
- Andorra vs Ceuta · FT 5–1
- Cadiz vs Celta B · FT 0–0
- Mallorca vs Valladolid · FT 2–0
