Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Telstar to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Telstar 55% at home, a draw 25% and Sparta Rotterdam 19%, so its call is 1: Telstar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Telstar and 1.0 for Sparta Rotterdam; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Telstar
Attack 10th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Nijmegen 2026-08-08
- W 2-1 at Volendam 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 v Heracles 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Nijmegen 2026-05-02
- W 4-1 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-04-22
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 18th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Feyenoord 2026-08-09
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-17
- L 0-4 at Twente 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-03
- L 1-4 at Telstar 2026-04-22
From 621 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.