Sociedad B vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Castellon to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Sociedad B 33% at home, a draw 24% and Castellon 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 23% / 55%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sociedad B and 1.6 for Castellon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sociedad B
Attack 14th of 22, defence 18th of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Cultural Leonesa 2026-05-30
- L 1-3 at Albacete 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Mirandes 2026-05-16
- W 2-1 at Huesca 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 v Burgos 2026-05-03
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Eibar 2026-05-31
- W 1-0 at Huesca 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 v Cadiz 2026-05-15
- D 1-1 at Ceuta 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Cordoba 2026-05-02
From 924 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.