Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 14 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Pauli to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Holstein Kiel 36% at home, a draw 28% and St Pauli 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Holstein Kiel and 1.3 for St Pauli; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Holstein Kiel
Attack 17th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Darmstadt 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Dresden 2026-05-17
- L 1-3 v Magdeburg 2026-05-09
- W 2-0 v Braunschweig 2026-05-02
- W 1-0 at Hertha 2026-04-25
St Pauli
Attack 8th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-09
From 621 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Fri 14 Aug
- Braunschweig vs Bochum · FT 0–1