Cercle Brugge vs St Truiden prediction
Belgium Pro League · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Truiden to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Cercle Brugge 33% at home, a draw 26% and St Truiden 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cercle Brugge and 1.7 for St Truiden; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cercle Brugge
Attack 8th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Standard 2026-08-08
- L 1-4 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-05-09
- L 2-3 v Waregem 2026-05-01
- W 2-1 v Dender 2026-04-24
- W 4-1 at Dender 2026-04-19
St Truiden
Attack 5th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Lommel SK 2026-08-08
- W 3-0 v Mechelen 2026-05-24
- L 1-3 at Anderlecht 2026-05-21
- D 1-1 v Gent 2026-05-16
- L 0-2 at Club Brugge 2026-05-09
From 632 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.