St Truiden vs Lommel SK prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 8 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lommel SK to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives St Truiden 23% at home, a draw 23% and Lommel SK 54%, so its call is 2: Lommel SK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 19% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for St Truiden and 2.0 for Lommel SK; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Truiden
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-0 v Mechelen 2026-05-24
- L 1-3 at Anderlecht 2026-05-21
- D 1-1 v Gent 2026-05-16
- L 0-2 at Club Brugge 2026-05-09
- W 2-1 v St. Gilloise 2026-05-02
Lommel SK
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
From 624 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 8 Aug
- Standard vs Cercle Brugge · FT 2–2
- Westerlo vs St. Gilloise · FT 1–5