Heidenheim vs Osnabruck prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Heidenheim to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Heidenheim 43% at home, a draw 28% and Osnabruck 29%, so its call is 1: Heidenheim to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Heidenheim and 1.1 for Osnabruck; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Heidenheim, Osnabruck, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 613 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.